<p>Woodberry Down is a neighbourhood located in the Finsbury Park area of London.&nbsp;The area is known for its diverse mix of residential and commercial properties, as well as its proximity to a number of iconic landmarks and popular destinations.</p><p>Some of the most notable landmarks in the area include Finsbury Park itself, which offers a wide range of recreational activities and green spaces, as well as the historic Stroud Green Road and the bustling Upper Street.</p><p>Additionally, the area is home to a number of popular shops, restaurants, and nightlife venues, making it a popular destination for both residents and visitors.</p><p>But what about the property market?</p><p>Download the Woodberry Down 2023/2024 report below.</p><button id="btn-1" class="Button primary">Download Report</button><br /><br />

Woodberry Down Research Report

thumbnail

Woodbury-Down

Woodberry Down is a neighbourhood located in the Finsbury Park area of London.&nbsp;The area is known for its diverse mix of residential and commercial properties, as well as its proximity to a number of iconic landmarks and popular destinations.

https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1673882325/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Woodbury-Down.jpg

London Development and BTR Report - Autumn 2024

jll-residential-roundup-banner

https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1733718701/resi/gb/Articles/Images/london-development-and-build-to-rent-report.jpg

<p>The Older People&rsquo;s Housing Taskforce Report published this week by the MHCLG flagged stamp duty as holding back activity in the later living market (it mentions it 17 times in the exec summary alone). We need between 30,000 and 50,000 new later
    living homes per annum but only currently build around 7,000. &nbsp;The report suggests introducing stamp duty incentives or equalising first-time buyer and &lsquo;last-time buyer&rsquo; rates for those looking to downsize could increase activity
    and allow older households to move to more suitable properties. Read more <a href="https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-older-peoples-housing-taskforce-report/our-future-homes-housing-that-promotes-wellbeing-and-community-for-an-ageing-population#annex-a-combined-set-of-recommendations-for-older-peoples-housinghomes-ophlater-living-housinghomes-llh">here.</a></p><p>We&rsquo;re unlikely to hear more on incentives until the Spending Review this coming spring, but until then we thought it was worth looking at rates, who pays and where revenues are coming from. </p><p><strong>Broader shoulders in higher value markets</strong></p><p>Property transaction tax (the majority of which is residential SDLT) is expected to bring in &pound;12.8 billion in the year to March 2024, rising to &pound;25 billion per annum by 2030 according to the OBR. Property transaction tax receipts are forecast
    to be around 40% higher than the much-discussed inheritance tax take over the next five years. </p><p>Total residential receipts in year to March 2023 (2024 data is still only provisional) were &pound;11.7 billion.&nbsp;Comparing total residential receipts with the number of transactions shows a rise in revenue per transaction of 72% over the past decade,
    outpacing price growth by around 20 percentage points.</p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1732891743/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Roundup-Nov29-Chart1.png" /></p><p>Of the &pound;11.7 billion total, &pound;4.5 billion came from London sales. London buyers account for 59% of receipts, despite London sales being just 11% of the total nationally. </p><p>The two most expensive London boroughs contributed &pound;1.45 billion to HMRC coffers, with &pound;690 million from sales in Kensington &amp; Chelsea and &pound;765 million from Westminster, 12.4% of national totals. Indeed, the top ten local authorities
    in terms of receipts contributed 26% of the total SDLT take. Eight of the top ten were London boroughs, with the remaining two high value Buckinghamshire and Elmbridge.</p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1732891743/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Roundup-Nov29-Chart2.png" /></p><p><strong>Home movers</strong></p><p>Stamp duty rates are most straightforward to understand for home movers purchasing their sole residence. Purchasers pay SDLT at differing rates dependent upon the proportion of the sale price which falls within each bracket. From April 2025 the rate at
    which buyers start paying SDLT returns to &pound;125k, down from &pound;250k currently (known as the nil-rate threshold). This will add &pound;2,500 to the stamp duty bill for someone buying a &pound;500,000 home. </p><p><strong>First-time buyers</strong></p><p>Current rules mean first time buyers purchasing homes at up to &pound;625k have a higher threshold before they start paying stamp duty, saving buyers at the upper price limit &pound;11,250 compared with rates from April 2025. Currently those purchasing
    homes up to &pound;625k don&rsquo;t pay stamp duty on the proportion of the home priced at below &pound;425k, in April 2025 this falls back to the previous limit of &pound;300k. </p><p><strong>Additional homes</strong></p><p>Higher Rates on Additional Dwellings (HRAD) accounted for &pound;4.2 billion of SDLT receipts in the year to September 2024, almost 50% of total receipts over the 12-month period.&nbsp; Following the autumn Budget those purchasing an additional property
    will pay a higher SDLT bill.&nbsp; With the previous 3% surcharge rising to 5% at midnight on Budget day. The SDLT cost to purchase a &pound;500k home as a UK resident now &pound;37,500, up &pound;10k on pre-Budget levels. </p><p><strong>ATED</strong></p><p>Annual Tax on Enveloped Dwelling, or ATED for short, is levied on residential properties owned by non-natural person, in most case those held within a company structure. It applies predominantly to properties valued at &pound;500,000 or more with the
    owner required to have the property valued every five years.&nbsp; An annual charge is then levied depending on the property&rsquo;s value. These range from &pound;4,400 a year for homes valued at &pound;500k to &pound;1million, to &pound;287,500
    for homes worth more than &pound;20 million (figures for 2024/25 financial year). On top of the annual charge properties purchased by &lsquo;non-natural persons&rsquo; attract a 17% SDLT rate. There are exemptions and reliefs available for certain
    assets so well worth taking advice.</p><p><strong>Buying multiple properties</strong></p><p>Multiple Dwellings Relief (MDR) was abolished under the previous government. Aimed at transactions where there was more than one dwelling, essentially the purchaser paid SDLT on each property at an individual rate per property, rather than on the total
    purchase price. But without MDR most buyers purchasing six or more residential properties now buy through non-residential SDLT.&nbsp; This approach treats the purchase as a single asset, with buyers paying 0% on purchases up to &pound;150k, 2% on
    purchases between &pound;150k and &pound;20k and 5% on purchases over &pound;250k. </p><p>For more information on stamp duty rates <a href="https://www.tax.service.gov.uk/calculate-stamp-duty-land-tax/#!/intro">click here.</a></p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1732891743/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Roundup-Nov29-Chart3.png" /></p><p>&nbsp;</p>

Residential Roundup - 29 November

Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) has been in the news quite a bit recently.&nbsp; Those buying additional properties are paying more post-Budget and changes in the zero-rate threshold will mean added costs from April 2025 for all buyers.

Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) has been in the news quite a bit recently.  Those buying additional properties are paying more post-Budget and changes in the zero-rate threshold will mean added costs from April 2025 for all buyers.

<strong>Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT) has been in the news quite a bit recently.&nbsp; Those buying additional properties are paying more post-Budget and changes in the zero-rate threshold will mean added costs from April 2025 for all buyers.</strong>

https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1732891731/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Roundup-Nov29-Hero.jpg

<p>The latest figures from the Office for National Statistics show the UK economy all but plateauing in Q3, with economic growth of 0.1% recorded, below the 0.2% forecast and lower than the 0.5% figure for Q2. Understandably the Chancellor is disappointed
    with these numbers and will be hoping that with the budget behind us we&rsquo;ll see more activity and a shift away from pre-Budget inertia. </p><h2><strong>Wages rising</strong></h2><p>Annual growth in weekly earnings rose 4.8% in the three months to September, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics. Wage growth remained above inflation, rising 1.4% in real (inflation adjusted) terms. These figures support
    assertions by the Bank of England that some heat is coming out of the labour market as we move towards the end of the year and remains in line with expectations. </p><h2><strong>The latest from the RICS</strong></h2><p>In contrast to the lacklustre economic news, the latest RICS survey showed some signs of cautious optimism in the housing market. The headline net balance (remember the RICS report on balance of opinion so anything in positive territory suggests more
    agents reporting a rise than a fall) for new buyer enquiries was positive for the fourth consecutive month, albeit little changed from September at +12%. Sales activity looked to be edging up too, with a net balance of +9% of agents reporting an increase.
    This is the third consecutive monthly rise, following broadly negative readings since early 2022. Outlook on price growth remained positive too, with the net balance of agents expecting prices to rise over the next 12 months increasing to +20% in
    October, up from +12% the month prior. </p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1731679600/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Rise-Q4.png" /></p><p>For lettings, results from the October survey show tenant demand rising in the three months to October, with more respondents seeing an increase than a fall, returning a positive net balance of +19%. But there were fewer landlord instructions, possibly
    reflecting pre-Budget caution from landlords, with a net balance of -29% of agents reporting a fall in the three months to October.&nbsp; The most negative figure for three years. Unsurprisingly, with demand increasing and fewer instructions, respondents
    were more optimistic about the prospect for rent rises in the coming months. A balance of +33% of agents expecting rents to rise over the next three months. </p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1731679599/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Rent-Rises.png" /></p><p>The ONS rental index (all lets) shows rents up 8.4% annually, but new lets (via Homelet) are showing a 3.4% annual increase nationally. For sales, Nationwide show prices up 2.4% annually with Halifax figures suggesting higher growth of 3.9%. </p><h2><strong>Base rates fall but fixed rates rise</strong></h2><p>In the run up to the Monetary Policy Committee meeting on 7<sup>th</sup> November most were forecasting a further reduction in the base rate.&nbsp; Even with a mixed reaction following the budget this view didn&rsquo;t waiver much and was confirmed with
    a 25bps reduction.&nbsp; The MPC members voting eight to one to reduce rates (the one voting to stick). But messaging from the MPC suggests chances of a further 2024 reduction when they next meet on 19<sup>th</sup> December remain slim. </p><p>The November drop is good news for those on variable or tracker rates, but for those shopping for fixed rates a rise in swap rates, which started to build pre-Budget, means a host of lenders have increased their fixed rates.&nbsp; At the time of writing
    most sub 4% five-year fixes have been pulled from the market, rates are still lower than the 4.7% best-buys a year ago but expect them to sit slightly higher until we have some clarity on swaps. &nbsp;</p><h2><strong>Starts drop in London</strong></h2><p>A new approach to measuring housing need in London suggests we should be targeting 80,000 completions a year in the capital. But<strong> </strong>Molior London figures show housing starts in London so far this year (January to September) are down 53%
    on the ten-year average. Figures from the GLA show the number of affordable housing starts in the six months to September 2024 fell 23% on 2023 levels, with just shy of 2,700 affordable homes completed. Over the same six-month period there were just
    582 GLA-funded affordable homes started, up on 2023 levels but nowhere near target. Expect continued scarcity in the London new homes market until we see an uptick in activity. </p><h2><strong>Updated JLL forecasts</strong></h2><p>Back in May our revised forecast coincided with the announcement of a UK General Election and in November we were upstaged again when our forecast launch fell on the same day as the US election.</p>
<p>So, for those who may have missed it, our updated 2025 to 2029 forecast expects activity to
increase steadily from 2025 onwards, with prices up 20% and rents up 17% by the end of the five-year forecast period. To read more on our latest outlook for 2025-2029 <a href="https://residential.jll.co.uk/insights/news/jll-residential-forecast-2025-2029">click here.</a></p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1731677711/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Outlook-Price-Rent.png" /></p>

Residential Roundup - 15 November

It&rsquo;s been a busy couple of weeks since we last updated you following the UK Budget. Trump is heading back to the White House, the Bank of England has dropped the bank rate 25bps to 4.75%, and here at JLL we&rsquo;ve released our latest house price forecasts.

It’s been a busy couple of weeks since we last updated you following the UK Budget. Trump is heading back to the White House, the Bank of England has dropped the bank rate 25bps to 4.75%, and here at JLL we’ve released our latest house price forecasts.

<p><strong>It&rsquo;s been a busy couple of weeks since we last updated you following the UK Budget. Trump is heading back to the White House for a second time, the Bank of England has dropped the bank rate 25bps to 4.75%, and here at JLL we&rsquo;ve released our latest house price forecasts. The latter obviously grabbing the lion&rsquo;s share of headlines&hellip;.</strong></p>

https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1731677666/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Roundup-Nov-15.jpg

<p>With the October Budget behind us, the outlook for both prices and rents remains positive. The government is forging ahead with its plan to deliver more homes, but it will take some time before we see any real impact on overall supply. Increased government
    borrowing means the latest inflation forecasts from the Office for Budget Responsibility have come in higher than expected, which could throw some cold water on more bullish forecasts for mortgage rates.&nbsp; But the direction of travel appears to
    be the same, even if it may take a little longer to get there. </p><p>Lack of supply and more competitive mortgage rates are expected to underpin growth in prices over the next five years. Rental growth is expected to exceed inflation and wages over the five-year forecast period, but an increase in activity in the sales
    market means rental growth is expected to lag price growth, with rents forecast to be 17% higher by the end of 2029. </p><h2><strong>2024 outlook</strong></h2><p>Back in May we forecast house prices nationally would rise by 2% in 2024. This was underpinned by a continued resilience and lack of distress in the sales market, with prices holding firm despite the challenge of higher rates and uncertainties in the
    run up to the election (which at that point we were thinking would take place in the autumn). An early election was seen as a positive for the market, but Budget jitters meant much of that hoped for momentum was lost (or at least delayed).</p><p>Looking at the latest government figures (year to August 2024) shows prices have risen 2.8% annually, with more recent Nationwide figures for the year to October at 2.4%. There are obviously a few months to go but we expect year end growth to come in
    marginally above our 2% forecast. Scotland and the north of England are expected to see higher growth. Higher mortgage rates remained most challenging for more expensive markets in London and southern England, with growth in these regions, as forecast,
    lower than other areas of the UK this year.</p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1730756189/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Resi-Forecast-Chart-1.jpg" /></p><p>We forecast UK rents would end 2024 4.5% higher annually.&nbsp; The ONS Private Rents Index, which we benchmark against, is still showing growth of 8.4% in the year to August, but new lets data from Homelet data shows average rents were 4.3% higher in
    September 2024 than they were a year earlier. We expect ONS figures could end the year higher than our 4.5% forecast, but the significant imbalance between tenant demand and supply has levelled off in recent months so we expect some further heat will
    come out of the rental market as we move into 2025. </p><h2><strong>Lessons from the (recent) past</strong></h2><p>Looking back over the last 25 years, price growth (taken here in five-year chunks to mirror our five-year outlook) shows three distinct periods for growth. Before the Global Financial Crisis five-year growth of 60% or more was the norm. But the period
    of re-correction that followed saw much of this froth removed from the market as five-year growth fell back to single digits or low teens to compensate for the significant tightening of the debt markets. </p><p>But for the last decade, despite significant variation in mortgage rates and a global pandemic, house prices rises over a five-year term have remained remarkably consistent. Peaking in 2017 at 33% but otherwise ranging from 21% to 27%.&nbsp;</p><p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1730756189/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Resi-Forecast-Chart-2.jpg" /></p><h2><strong>UK Economy</strong></h2><style>td,
 th {
        padding: 8px;
    }

    tr {
        text-align: left;
    }

    .red {
        background-color: #131e28 !important;
        color: #fff !important;
    }

    tr:nth-child(odd) {
        background-color: #e7e8e9;
    }

    .subheading {
        background-color: #fff !important;
    }

    table {
        border: 1px solid #fff;
    }
</style>
<div style="overflow-x:auto;" align="center"><table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="1" align="left"><tbody><tr class="red"><th scope="col"></th><th scope="col">2025</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2026</th><th scope="col">2027</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2028</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2029</th><th scope="col">Change 2025-29</th></tr><tr><td>CPI (OBR)</td><td>2.6</td><td>2.3</td><td>2.1</td><td>2.1</td><td>2.0</td><td>11.6</td></tr><tr><td>Wages (OE)</td><td>2.7</td><td>2.4</td><td>2.5</td><td>2.8</td><td>2.9</td><td>14.0</td></tr><tr><td>UK GDP (OBR)</td><td>2</td><td>1.8</td><td>1.5</td><td>1.5</td><td>1.6</td><td>8.7</td></tr></tbody></table></div><p style="text-align:left;">Source: JLL Research using Office of Budget Responsibility, Oxford Economics</p><p style="text-align:left;">The outlook for economic growth remains muted, with inflation expected to sit a little higher than the Bank of England&rsquo;s 2% target until 2029.&nbsp; But the Bank of England rate cutting cycle is expected to continue and assuming swap rates settle
    post Budget and the US election we&rsquo;ll likely see mortgage rates fall back too - if not quite as quickly as we had hoped. </p><p style="text-align:left;">Consensus forecasts suggest rate cuts will run through until the end of 2026, with mortgage rates expected to become more competitive over this period. Following a similar trend to 2024 we anticipate lower value markets will benefit first.&nbsp; Activity
    will be driven by first time buyers, with home movers following once rates become more attractive. Higher value markets in London and the south are expected to see stronger growth in the second half of our five-year forecast period.</p><h2><strong>Market activity</strong></h2><style>td,
 th {
        padding: 8px;
    }

    tr {
        text-align: left;
    }

    .red {
        background-color: #131e28 !important;
        color: #fff !important;
    }

    tr:nth-child(odd) {
        background-color: #e7e8e9;
    }

    .subheading {
        background-color: #fff !important;
    }

    table {
        border: 1px solid #fff;
    }
</style>
<div style="overflow-x:auto;" align="center"><table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="1" align="left"><tbody><tr class="red"><th scope="col" data-role="resizable"></th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2024</th><th scope="col">2025</th><th scope="col">2026</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2027</th><th scope="col">2028</th><th scope="col">2029</th></tr><tr><td>Housing Starts</td><td>135,000</td><td>157,000</td><td>179,000</td><td>199,000</td><td>224,000</td><td>244,000</td></tr><tr><td>Transactions</td><td>1.0m</td><td>1.2m</td><td>1.3m</td><td>1.3m</td><td>1.3m</td><td>1.4m</td></tr></tbody></table></div><p>Source: JLL Research, Experian</p><p>Committing to build 1.5 million homes over the course of this parliament, the government has set itself an ambitious target.&nbsp; But ramping up delivery without any demand side stimulus will be a real challenge. Current supply side plans have started
    to put the building blocks in place to ramp up delivery but increasing delivery in a meaningful way with current planning, labour force, and supply chain constraints won&rsquo;t be a quick fix. JLL forecast new housing starts across the UK will total
    1 million homes between 2025 and 2029.&nbsp; Conversions of existing stock (currently accounting for around one in ten net additions) are expected to rise too, so we&rsquo;ve allowed (possibly sightly ambitiously) for 200,000 in the next five years
    taking us to a forecast of 1.2 million homes.<br /></p><h2 style="text-align:left;"><strong>Sales price forecasts</strong></h2><style>td,
 th {
        padding: 8px;
    }

    tr {
        text-align: left;
    }

    .red {
        background-color: #131e28 !important;
        color: #fff !important;
    }

    tr:nth-child(odd) {
        background-color: #e7e8e9;
    }

    .subheading {
        background-color: #fff !important;
    }

    table {
        border: 1px solid #fff;
    }
</style>
<div style="overflow-x:auto;" align="center"><table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="1" align="left"><tbody><tr class="red"><th scope="col">Sales price growth (% pa)</th><th scope="col">2025</th><th scope="col">2026</th><th scope="col">2027</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2028</th><th scope="col">2029</th><th scope="col">Change 2025-29</th><th scope="col">Average pa 2025-29</th></tr><tr><td>UK</td><td>3.5</td><td>4.0</td><td>4.5</td><td>3.5</td><td>3.0</td><td>19.9</td><td>3.7</td></tr><tr><td>Greater London</td><td>2.5</td><td>3.5</td><td>5.0</td><td>5.0</td><td>4.0</td><td>21.6</td><td>4.0</td></tr></tbody></table></div><p style="text-align:left;">Source: JLL Research </p><p>A new government with ambitious plans for housebuilding and more comfortable with a higher tax environment, particularly for wealthier households, could mean future growth prospects differ from the recent past. But neither of the these seem a sufficient
    departure from the current trend to meaningfully change the path of growth over the coming five-year period (2025-2029). </p><p>We do expect higher rates (even if they fall back from current levels) will limit growth prospects, meaning our 2025-2029 forecasts sit at the lower end of the recent five year averages. </p><p>We expect growth of 19.9% nationally 2025-2029. London house prices are expected to increase by 21.6% over the same period, underpinned by a lack of new homes reaching the market for sale. We expect lower value markets to see stronger growth towards the
    beginning of our five-year forecast period, with more expensive markets outperforming once the rate cutting cycle continues into 2026 and 2027.&nbsp; <br /></p><h2 style="text-align:left;"><strong>Rental forecasts</strong><strong></strong></h2><style>td,
 th {
        padding: 8px;
    }

    tr {
        text-align: left;
    }

    .red {
        background-color: #131e28 !important;
        color: #fff !important;
    }

    tr:nth-child(odd) {
        background-color: #e7e8e9;
    }

    .subheading {
        background-color: #fff !important;
    }

    table {
        border: 1px solid #fff;
    }
</style>
<div style="overflow-x:auto;" align="center"><table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" border="1" align="left"><tbody><tr class="red"><th scope="col">Rental growth (% pa)</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2025</th><th scope="col">2026</th><th scope="col">2027</th><th scope="col" data-role="resizable">2028</th><th scope="col">2029</th><th scope="col">Change 2025-29</th><th scope="col">Average pa 2025-29</th></tr><tr><td>UK</td><td>3.0</td><td>2.5</td><td>3.0</td><td>3.5</td><td>4.0</td><td>17.1</td><td>3.2</td></tr><tr><td>Greater London</td><td>2.5</td><td>3.0</td><td>3.5</td><td>4.0</td><td>4.5</td><td>18.8</td><td>3.5</td></tr><tr><td>UK BTR</td><td>3.5</td><td>3.5</td><td>3.5</td><td>4.0</td><td>4.5</td><td>20.5</td><td>3.8</td></tr></tbody></table></div><p style="text-align:left;">Source: JLL Research </p><p style="text-align:left;">In the five years to September 2024 rents rose nationally by 27%. But the rapid rise in rents in the last three years isn&rsquo;t reflective of the long-term trend.&nbsp; Five-year growth figures in early 2020 sat at around 12%, when rents broadly tracked
    wage growth. </p><p style="text-align:left;">The supply demand imbalance which has in part driven rent rises (wage growth and inflation also contributed) is now becoming more balanced, but a lack of new stock entering the market means we anticipate rental growth will exceed wage growth and inflation
    over the next five years. </p><p style="text-align:left;">The October Budget did little to change our view.&nbsp; Capital Gains Tax for residential property remained the same, meaning exit costs didn&rsquo;t rise, but entry costs did.&nbsp; Landlords looking to purchase homes now having to pay an additional
    2% stamp duty over the previous already elevated bill. We expect this will mean more traditional buy-to-let landlords will leave the market than enter over the next five years. </p><p style="text-align:left;">But activity in the sales market is expected to increase too, likely meaning an increase in tenants moving across into owner occupation, alleviating some demand side pressures in the short term.&nbsp; </p><p style="text-align:left;">JLL forecast UK rents will rise 17% over the next five years, with rental growth in the London expected to total 18% over the same period.</p><h2 style="text-align:left;"><strong>What to watch</strong></h2><ul><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>EPC C by 2030</strong> &ndash; Around half of all privately rented homes nationally are EPC D or below.&nbsp; As we move closer to the 2030 deadline, we expect some landlords will offload less efficient stock or remove properties from the
        market to retrofit to meet the new standard. Expect rents to rise in the run up as stock levels fall. For sales, landlords selling properties could bring more lower value homes to the market impacting average prices.<br /></li><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>Renters Right Bill</strong> &ndash; Current proposals include the provision for tenants to challenge market busting rental increases. Our forecast for lower annual increases will help cushion the impact here but may limit the potential for
        growth in some markets, particularly if the courts are overwhelmed with applicants. Landlords concerned around the impact of the bill could also chose to exit the market, particularly as the sales market improves.<br /></li><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>Buyer incentives</strong> &ndash; With the stamp duty threshold returning to its previous &pound;300,000 level for first time buyers next spring there was surprisingly little in the budget to incentivise buyers.&nbsp; However, there was reference
        to Phase 2 of the Spending Review in Q2 2025, so we could see further incentives or concessions introduced then.<br /></li><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>Rates &ndash; </strong>A more rapid fall in mortgage rates could mean higher value markets see stronger growth earlier.<br /><strong></strong></li><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>Housebuilding &ndash; </strong>The government has ambitious plans for new homes.&nbsp; We do expect activity to increase but still assume starts will lag the 1.5 million target. Our current forecast accounts for stock scarcity in the new homes
        market towards the start of the five-year period with new development activity not expected to be sufficiently high to have any negative impact on prices.<br /></li><li style="text-align:left;"><strong>International buyers and prime London &ndash;</strong> Changes to non-dom rules and increases in SDLT on additional properties mean higher costs for overseas buyers. But a lack of stock, particularly of new homes, means those who are in the
        market may find choice scarce and competition for the best stock remains strong.&nbsp;</li></ul>

JLL Residential Forecast 2025-2029

Houses prices expected to rise by 20% in the next five years as lower mortgage rates bring buyers back to the market. Rental growth slows from recent highs.

<strong>Houses prices expected to rise by 20% in the next five years as lower mortgage rates bring buyers back to the market. Rental growth slows from recent highs.</strong>

https://res.cloudinary.com/global-cms-assets-np/image/upload/v1730756233/resi/gb/Articles/Images/Resi-Forecast-Hero.jpg

Site Settings[Updated]

UK Contacts

title="Currency"
metric="currency"
type="currency-select"
name="currencyType"
placeholder="GBP (£)"
order=1
[[options]]
label="GBP (£)"
value="gbp"
[[options]]
label="EUR (€)"
value="eur"
[[options]]
label="USD ($)"
value="usd"
[[options]]
label="HKD (HK$)"
value="hkd"
[[options]]
label="AED (د.إ)"
value="aed"


Currency

currencyType

title="Price"
metric="£"
type="minmax"
name="Price"
order=1

[min]
[min.0]
label="£0"
value=0
[min.1]
label="£1,000 pcm"
value=1000
[min.2]
label="£2,000 pcm"
value=2000
[min.3]
label="£3,000 pcm"
value=3000
[min.4]
label="£4,000 pcm"
value=4000
[min.5]
label="£5,000 pcm"
value=5000
[min.6]
label="£6,000 pcm"
value=6000
[min.7]
label="£7,000 pcm"
value=7000
[min.8]
label="£8,000 pcm"
value=8000
[min.9]
label="£9,000 pcm"
value=9000
[min.10]
label="£10,000+ pcm"
value=10000
 
[max]
[max.0]
label="£0"
value=0
[max.1]
label="£1,000 pcm"
value=1000
[max.2]
label="£2,000 pcm"
value=2000
[max.3]
label="£3,000 pcm"
value=3000
[max.4]
label="£4,000 pcm"
value=4000
[max.5]
label="£5,000 pcm"
value=5000
[max.6]
label="£6,000 pcm"
value=6000
[max.7]
label="£7,000 pcm"
value=7000
[max.8]
label="£8,000 pcm"
value=8000
[max.9]
label="£9,000 pcm"
value=9000
[max.10]
label="£10,000+ pcm"
value=1000000

Rent - Price

Price

title="Price"
metric="£"
type="minmax"
name="Price"
order=1

[min]
[min.0]
label="No Min"
value=""
[min.1]
label="£100,000"
value=100000
[min.2]
label="£200,000"
value=200000
[min.3]
label="£300,000"
value=300000
[min.4]
label="£400,000"
value=400000
[min.5]
label="£500,000"
value=500000
[min.6]
label="£600,000"
value=600000
[min.7]
label="£700,000"
value=700000
[min.8]
label="£800,000"
value=800000
[min.9]
label="£900,000"
value=900000
[min.10]
label="£1,000,000"
value=1000000
[min.11]
label="£2,000,000"
value=2000000
[min.12]
label="£3,000,000"
value=3000000
[min.13]
label="£4,000,000"
value=4000000
[min.14]
label="£5,000,000+"
value=5000000

[max]
[max.0]
label="No Max"
value=""
[max.1]
label="£100,000"
value=100000
[max.2]
label="£200,000"
value=200000
[max.3]
label="£300,000"
value=300000
[max.4]
label="£400,000"
value=400000
[max.5]
label="£500,000"
value=500000
[max.6]
label="£600,000"
value=600000
[max.7]
label="£700,000"
value=700000
[max.8]
label="£800,000"
value=800000
[max.9]
label="£900,000"
value=900000
[max.10]
label="£1,000,000"
value=1000000
[max.11]
label="£2,000,000"
value=2000000
[max.12]
label="£3,000,000"
value=3000000
[max.13]
label="£4,000,000"
value=4000000
[max.14]
label="£5,000,000+"
value=1000000000

Sale - Price

title="Bedrooms"
metric="bedrooms"
type="minmax"
name="bed"
order=2

[min]
[min.0]
label="No Min"
value=""
[min.1]
label="Studio"
value=0
[min.2]
label="1 bedroom"
value=1
[min.3]
label="2 bedrooms"
value=2
[min.4]
label="3 bedrooms"
value=3
[min.5]
label="4 bedrooms"
value=4
[min.6]
label="5 bedrooms"
value=5
[min.7]
label="6 bedrooms"
value=6
[min.8]
label="7 bedrooms"
value=7
[min.9]
label="8+ bedrooms"
value=8

[max]
[max.0]
label="No Max"
value=""
[max.1]
label="Studio"
value=0
[max.2]
label="1 bedroom"
value=1
[max.3]
label="2 bedrooms"
value=2
[max.4]
label="3 bedrooms"
value=3
[max.5]
label="4 bedrooms"
value=4
[max.6]
label="5 bedrooms"
value=5
[max.7]
label="6 bedrooms"
value=6
[max.8]
label="7 bedrooms"
value=7
[max.200]
label="8+ bedrooms"
value=200

Bedrooms

title="Property Type"
metric="propertyType"
type="select"
name="type"
placeholder="Any Type"
order=3

[[options]]
label="Any Type"
value=""
[[options]]
label="Flats"
value="flats"
[[options]]
label="Houses"
value="houses"
[[options]]
label="Developments"
value="developments"

Property Type

type

title="Must be"
type="checkboxes"
name="flags"
order=4

[[options]]
label="New homes"
value="new-home"
[[options]]
label="First time buyer"
value="first-time-buyer"
[[options]]
label="Coming soon"
value="coming-soon"
[[options]]
label="Stamp duty promotion"
value="reduced-stamp-duty"
[[options]]
label="Shared ownership"
value="shared-ownership"

Sale - Options

flags

Must be

title="Options"
type="checkboxes"
name="flags"
order=4

[[options]]
label="Short Term"
value="short-term"
[[options]]
label="Furnished"
value="furnished"
[[options]]
label="Unfurnished"
value="unfurnished"

Rent - Options

Options

Property Enquiry

<p><strong>PRIVACY NOTICE</strong></p>
<p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p>
<p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p>
<p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes your personal data, please view our <a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p>

Arrange View

anythingElse

date

email

firstName

generalEnquiry

intlDialCode

lastName

marketingOptin

submit

telephone

time

userAction

videoOption

Let us know your preferred time for a viewing and we will get in touch with you to confirm a time.

Fill out the form or call us at {{ phone }}

Arrange a viewing

<p>PRIVACY NOTICE</p>
<p>Jones Lang LaSalle (JLL), together with its subsidiaries and affiliates, is a leading global provider of real estate and investment management services. We take our responsibility to protect the personal information provided to us seriously.</p>
<p>Generally the personal information we collect from you are for the purposes of dealing with your enquiry.</p>
<p>We endeavor to keep your personal information secure with appropriate level of security and keep for as long as we need it for legitimate business or legal reasons. We will then delete it safely and securely. For more information about how JLL processes your personal data, please view our&nbsp;<a href="https://www.jll.co.uk/en/privacy-statement" target="_blank">privacy statement</a>.</p>

Woodberry Down Research Report

Related articles

London Development and BTR Report - Autumn 2024

Residential Roundup - 29 November

Residential Roundup - 15 November

JLL Residential Forecast 2025-2029