Residential Roundup - 17 November

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<p><strong>In Q3 2023, Molior reported that construction starts were down -74% on the 10-year average, while completions were down -37%.</strong></p><p><strong>The number of units started in Q3 2023 across London have almost halved compared to the previous quarter, with the largest falls seen in zones 2 and 4-6.</strong></p><p><strong>Numerous regulatory changes have impacted development activity, with more schemes pushed in Q2 2023 to beat the latest changes. After the June 2023 deadline, developers have to adhere to more stringent energy efficient and carbon emissions standards in
    new homes.</strong></p><p>When we compare the number of construction starts for build for sale (BFS) and build to rent (BTR), it is evident that the most significant fall in starts is BFS units; in Q3 2023 there were just 998 BFS units started across London, down from 3,519 in
    Q2.
</p><p>Q3 2023 saw a marginal rise in the number of BTR units started, accounting for 30% of total starts across London, up from just 5% in Q2. On average over the past five years, BTR starts have accounted for 29% of total starts across London.</p><p>It has become increasingly difficult for buyers to get a foot on to the housing ladder in London, resulting in increased demand for rental property across the city. It is crucial that the trending rise in the number of BTR units started continues, in
    order to satisfy demand for new rental stock.</p><p>The lack of new construction starts will have a knock-on effect on new homes stock across London, with the sustained lack of new housing starts meaning new homes risk becoming scarce commodity in the capital. Central London is likely to suffer most from
    lack of new homes being delivered. The number of units under construction across zone 1 was at the lowest level seen over the last six years in Q3 2023, and half the quarterly average in the three years pre-pandemic (2017-2019). The latest Molior
    data recorded just 26 construction starts across zone 1 in Q3 2023.</p><h2>Units started by London underground zone</h2>
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<h2>Supply difficulties across London are not likely to ease anytime soon</h2><p>Unfortunately, the lack of new housing construction does not look set to ease anytime soon. <a href="https://residential.jll.co.uk/insights/research/jll-residential-forecasts-2024-2028" target="_self" style="text-decoration:underline;">JLL's latest residential forecasts (2024-2028)</a> were released in November and include housing construction forecasts. Nick Whitten, Head of UK and EMEA Living Research
    expects &ldquo;the rate of undersupply will result in a cumulative shortfall of 720,000 homes between 2023 and 2028&rdquo;.</p><p>The report identified five barriers to new supply; build costs, financing costs, construction capacity, land availability and building regulations. There have been nine changes to UK building regulations within the past three years alone. Not only have
    these changes caused greater uncertainty, but alone have increased build costs by around 15% during this period (2020-2023).</p><p>Rising construction costs and supply chain pressures have added further pressure. The UK construction index has risen +25% compared with pre-pandemic, while the cost of cement, timber and glass is up +35%. This continues to challenge the viability of
    schemes.
</p><p>JLL have outlined construction capacity as another barrier to supply. Approximately 1 million of the 2.5 million construction workers in the UK are employed in housebuilding. But Make UK estimate there is a shortfall of circa 1 million workers required
    to meet UK housebuilding targets. This is before we even dig deeper into the number of workers expected to retire within the next decade.</p><p>More recently, new data released by the S&amp;P Global/ CIPS UK construction PMI shows construction activity contracted in October. This has largely been driven by viability concerns; a sharp contraction in housebuilding off the back of rising interest
    rates and higher borrowing costs.</p><h2>Light at the end of the tunnel</h2><p>With bank rates held at 5.25% for the second time in November, most expect we have seen rates peak. However, rates rising from 0.1% to 5.25% in 18 months requires significant adjustment; the UK base rate increased at the fastest pace in history. It has
    also reduced the number of people able to buy, with higher rates challenging first time buyers and mortgaged investors.</p><p>However, as rates begin to fall and purchasers return to the market, we do expect the viability of projects will improve. Despite this, there could still be a lack of completed and completing stock to satisfy demand.</p><p>Encouragingly, there is evidence that developers are preparing to increase activity once conditions improve. The number of applications for residential developments rose 65% from Q2 2023 to Q3 2023 (2,165 units to 3,582 units). Although this still lags
    historic norms, it is certainly a step in the right direction.<strong></strong></p><h2>About JLL | November 2023</h2><p>JLL is a leading global professional services firm specialising in real estate and investment management, with $16.6bn annual revenue in 2020, operations in over 80 countries and a global workforce of over 90,000. With over 7,000 employees and 15 offices
    in the UK, we support our investor, developer and occupier clients at every stage of the property lifecycle across both commercial and residential asset classes. This includes land purchase, access to capital, planning, development advisory, leasing,
    building management and sales.</p><p>JLL&rsquo;s Residential and Living team consists of over 300 professionals who provide a comprehensive end-to-end service across all residential property types, including social housing, private residential, build to rent, co-living, later living, healthcare
    and student housing.</p><p><sup>Disclaimer: <sup>&copy;</sup> 2023 Jones Lang LaSalle IP, Inc. All rights reserved.</sup>
</p><p>Data within this report is based on material/sources that are deemed to be reliable and has not been independently verified by JLL. JLL makes no representations or warranties as to the accuracy, completeness or suitability of the whole or any part of
    the report which has been produced solely as a general guide and does not constitute advice. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without prior written consent of JLL. JLL, its officers, employees
    shall not be liable for any loss, liability, damage or expense arising directly or indirectly from any use or disclosure of or reliance on such report. JLL reserves the right to pursue criminal and civil action for any unauthorized use, distribution
    or breach of such intellectual property.</p>

JLL – The construction starts fall across London

<strong>In Q3 2023, Molior reported that construction starts were down -74% on the 10-year average, while completions were down -37%.</strong>

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<p align="center" style="text-align:left;">We are pleased to introduce a guest blog article from the expert legal advisor Bolt Burden. This blog will set out the 9 simple steps you need to be aware of when going through the legal process to buy your first home.</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;"><strong></strong><strong>Firstly</strong>, you will need to enter into a reservation agreement with the developer and pay a reservation fee.</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;"><strong></strong><strong>Secondly</strong>, you will need to instruct a solicitor who will draft a contract and will order searches on your behalf regarding the property. Alongside this they will raise any legal enquiries and approve the contract and
    terms of the lease.<em></em></p>
<p><em>Whilst this is happening you would have simultaneously applied
for your mortgage and have an offer formally issued.<o:p></o:p></em><strong></strong></p>
<p><strong>Thirdly</strong>, when all terms have been agreed and the mortgage offer received, you are then ready to exchange contracts.</p>
<p><strong>Finally</strong>, you will complete on the property and the keys will be released to you ready to move in!</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;"><em>For a further in depth step-by-step process please see below:&nbsp;</em></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;">&nbsp;</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>THE LEGAL PROCESS: A STEP-BY-STEP GUIDE TO GET YOU THE KEYS TO YOUR
    FIRST HOME</strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>RESERVATION </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">To secure your new home, you will enter into a reservation agreement with the developer and pay a reservation fee to take the property off the market. </p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">The terms of the agreed sale are detailed here, and you will be given a reservation period to progress the sale and reach &lsquo;Exchange of Contracts&rsquo;.</p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>INSTRUCT A SOLICITOR </strong></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>CONTRACTS ARE ISSUED </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">The draft contract will be prepared by the developer&rsquo;s solicitor and will be sent to your solicitor together with a comprehensive legal pack on the development. &nbsp;&nbsp;This is to provide you and your solicitor with as much information about
    the property as possible including on matters such as planning consents and who the new home warranty provider will be.
    <strong></strong></p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>SEARCHES ARE ORDERED </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">Your solicitor will take your instructions here to order your searches.</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">A search is carried out with the local authority for the area in which the property is situated, &lsquo;the Local Search&rsquo;. &nbsp;It reveals details of such matters as planning permissions and planning agreements on the property; Community Infrastructure
    Levy (CILs) which may have to be repaid; road schemes in the immediate vicinity and such matters as compulsory purchase orders and notices under the Public Heath Act.</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">In most cases, your solicitor may need to carry out some additional searches prior to exchange of contracts. Normal searches that are carried out are drainage, environmental and chancel tax liability searches. </p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>APPROVAL OF THE DRAFT CONTRACT / LEASE </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">This is the task of your solicitor. They will check the draft contract and lease and will request any changes which are considered to be necessary and then returns this to the developer&rsquo;s solicitors to agree the amendments. </p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>LEGAL ENQUIRIES </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">Your solicitor will also raise legal enquiries with the developer&rsquo;s solicitors based on the legal pack provided.&nbsp; This process may take a few weeks to finalise depending on the nature of the enquiries and how quickly and easily they can be
    responded to by the Developer&rsquo;s solicitor. </p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>YOUR MORTGAGE OFFER </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">Whilst your solicitor is progressing the legal process, you will simultaneously have applied for your mortgage offer and your solicitor will need for this to be issued formally before you can reach the next stage. </p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">The mortgage offer will contain some special conditions and your solicitor must ensure prior to exchange of contracts that these can all be complied with.</p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>EXCHANGE OF CONTRACTS </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">When all the terms have been agreed; additional enquiries answered satisfactorily; a mortgage offer received and satisfactory search have been obtained, you are at last ready to exchange contracts!</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">Your solicitor will send you the contract for signature together with the legal report about the property you are buying. At this stage you should raise any final queries you may have about the property before returning the signed contract and deposit
    to your solicitor in readiness for exchange. The deposit is usually 10% of the purchase price. </p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">Exchange of contracts takes place over the telephone. The solicitors for the buyer and the developer complete the necessary details in their respective parts of the contract including the completion date and they are &ldquo;exchanged&rdquo;</p>
<p><img src="https://res.cloudinary.com/jll-global-olm-np/image/upload/v1699003475/resi/gb/cms/Content%20Pages/top-arrow.png" data-displaymode="Original" alt="" style="vertical-align:middle;" /></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;"><strong>COMPLETION </strong></p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">At this stage the contract which has been exchanged is formally &ldquo;completed&rdquo;. Your solicitor sends the balance required to complete to the developer solicitor by electronic bank transfer. Once this is received by the developer&rsquo;s solicitors
    the keys to the property are released to the you. </p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:center;">All you now have to do is move in!&nbsp;</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;">&nbsp;</p>
<p align="center" style="text-align:left;"><em>For any further advise or help with home-buying legal matters please
    contact Amie Mackay at AmieMackay@boltburdon.co.uk</em><em></em></p>

A step-by-step guide to getting your keys for your first home: A guest blog by Bolt Burden

nick-whitten stamp

We are pleased to introduce a guest blog article from the expert legal advisor Bolt Burden. This blog will set out the 9 simple steps you need to be aware of when going through the legal process to buy your first home.

We are pleased to introduce a guest blog article from the expert legal advisor Bolt Burden. 

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JLL Residential Forecasts 2024-2028

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Prime Central London Report – Q3 2023

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While this year&rsquo;s British summer was a typical tale of contrasting conditions, the UK housing market experienced similar levels of changeability between July and September due to ongoing economic uncertainty.

While this year’s British summer was a typical tale of contrasting conditions, the UK housing market experienced similar levels of changeability between July and September due to ongoing economic uncertainty.

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Residential Roundup - 20 October 2023

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JLL – Can improvements in PBSA provision for students help solve the rental crisis?

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JLL – Can improvements in PBSA provision for students help solve the rental 			crisis?

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The Residential Roundup

<div>With both the Conservative and Labour conferences taking place this month, speculation over the timing of the next general election is increasing. &nbsp;Although the Conservatives have until January 2025, rumours abound that an election could be called earlier, possibly when inflation hits 3%.</div>

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<p>Mortgage rates in the UK are constantly changing, it can be hard to know where to start and what to do. Rising interest rates and inflation is making it harder to borrow money, by following this guidance you can put yourself in the best position when buying a new home.</p><ol><li>Get pre-approved for a mortgage before you start looking for homes. By doing this, you can gain an idea of how much you can borrow and therefore what homes you are able to afford.&nbsp;</li><li>Be prepared to move quickly. In the current market, particularly for new build homes, the process moves very quickly so you should come prepared beforehand so as not to lose out on the opportunity.</li><li>Be aware of changing interest rates. These play a pivotal role in the mortgage market by influencing borrowing costs and affordability.&nbsp;</li><li>Determine what type of mortgage is right to you e.g. fixed rate mortgage, and compare their rates with different brokers.&nbsp;</li><li>Stay informed on home buying schemes through our First Time Buyer Website. The government and independent homebuilders and Housing Associations are launching new and innovative solutions to help First Time Buyers onto the property ladder.</li><li>JLL can also help connect you to our in-house expert mortgage adviser, offering fast and reliable help.</li></ol><p>&nbsp;</p><div><p><strong><em>Key Terminology:&nbsp;</em></strong></p><p></p></div><div><p><span style="text-decoration:underline;">What is a mortgage?</span></p><p>A loan used to purchase or maintain a property, secured against the property itself. It is an agreement between the purchaser and the lender, typically a bank.</p></div><div><span style="text-decoration:underline;"><br /></span></div><div><p><span style="text-decoration:underline;">What is an interest rate?</span></p><p>The amount you are charged for borrowing money, usually a percentage of the total amount of the loan. An interest rate that a lender charges on the mortgage amount you borrow is known as a mortgage rate.</p></div>

Beginners Guide to Navigating Mortgage and Interest Rates

Mortgage rates in the UK are constantly changing, it can be hard to know where to start and what to do. Rising interest rates and inflation is making it harder to borrow money, by following this guidance you can put yourself in the best position when buying a new home.

Mortgage rates in the UK are constantly changing, it can be hard to know where to start and what to do. 

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Investor Guide | Deptford

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Download our guide to investment in Deptford.

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Investor Guide | Bankside & Southbank

Download our guide to investment in Bankside &amp; Southbank.

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Investor Guide | New Malden

Download our guide to investment in New Malden.

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